Keurig Green Mountain Tops Q4 & FY14 Earnings, Sales

Zacks

Specialty coffee retailer Keurig Green Mountain Inc. (GMCR), delivered robust fourth-quarter fiscal 2014 adjusted earnings of 90 cents per share which comfortably beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 78 cents by 15.4% and the company's expectation of 68–75 cents.

Earnings also improved 1% from the year-ago quarter. Adjusted earnings excluded one time charges of 4 cents.

Profit increased due to solid top-line improvement and enhanced operational efficiencies.

Consolidated Revenues and Margins

Keurig Green Mountain's quarterly net sales rose 14% to $1.19 billion from $1.04 billion in the comparable prior-year quarter, backed by 22% growth in portion packs — K-cups and Vue packs sales. However, foreign exchange had a 17% negative impact on sales. Net sales also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.16 billion by 2.6%

Approximately 84% of fourth-quarter fiscal 2014 net sales was contributed by Keurig Single Cup Brewers, portion packs and Keurig-related accessories, with the remainder coming from bagged coffee, fractional packs and the Canadian office coffee services business.

Net sales of Single Serve Packs increased 22% year over year to $948.7 million due to a 28 percentage point (pp) increase in volume, partially offset by mix and pricing headwinds. This quarter the company sold portion packs to brand owners at a lower price than the previous year.

Net sales of Brewers and Accessories slipped 5% year over year to $181.6 million due to sales returns of certain models of Keurig 1.0 “MINI Plus” brewers. Volume increased 13 pp and product mix improved 3 pp.

Net sales of Other products slipped 17% to $65.3 million due to a demand shift from traditional coffee package formats to single-serve packs.

Though cost of sales increased 11.3%during the quarter, gross profit went up 12% to $449.78 million backed by higher revenues. Gross margin inflated 160 basis points (bps) to 37.6%.

Adjusted operating income went up 26% to $228.78 million. Adjusted operating margin inflated 190 bps to 20.1% backed by favorable green coffee costs, top-line growth and cost control.

Fiscal Results

In fiscal 2014, Keurig Green Mountain reported adjusted earnings of $3.93 per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.81 by 3.1%. Earnings also increased 16% from the prior-year earnings of $3.39 per share.

Net sales increased 8% to $4.70 billion in fiscal 2014 on the back of sales growth in most of the business segments. Sales beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.67 billion by 0.7%.

Guidance for Fiscal 2015

Keurig Green Mountain provided the fiscal 2015 outlook. The company expects adjusted earnings per share to grow in the range of mid to high single-digits. Keurig Green Mountain aims to achieve high single to low double-digit growth in annual revenues for the year.

Guidance for First Quarter Fiscal 2015

Keurig Green Mountain expects adjusted earnings per share in a range of 83 to 88 cents for first-quarter fiscal 2015. The company expects sales to grow in the high single-digits. Effective tax rate is expected to be within 35–35.5%.

Keurig Green Mountain currently sports a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

Other Stocks to Consider

Other consumer staples stocks worth considering are PepsiCo Inc. (PEP), Con Agra Foods Inc. (CAG) and Dr Pepper Snapple (DPS). All carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

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