This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, ARLP has beaten estimates by at least 15% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.
Earnings in Focus
Two quarters ago, ARLP expected to earn $1.59 per unit, while it actually produced earnings of $1.85 per unit, a beat of 16.4%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of $1.74 per unit, when it actually saw earnings of $2.20 per unit instead, representing a 26.4% positive surprise.
Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Alliance Resource Partners. In fact, the Earnings ESP for ARLP is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.
After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for ARLP, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 13.97%, so another beat could be around the corner.
This is particularly true when you consider that ARLP has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that ARLP could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.
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