We are downgrading Loews Corporation (L) to Underperform from Neutral on the back of weak fourth quarter results. Operating earnings in the fourth quarter lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate owing to lower investment income from limited partnership, increase in insurance reserves for its payout annuity business, lower earnings at Diamond Offshore and weak performance of equity investments.
Results at HighMount remained soft due to lower sales volume stemming from lower drilling activity and lower natural gas prices. CNA has substantial exposure to catastrophe losses. Losses in the fourth quarter totaled $208 million, a substantial deterioration from $113 million a year ago.
Our six-month target price of $35.00 per share equates to about 12.1x our 2012 earnings estimate. This price target along with the annual dividend of $0.25 per share implies an expected negative total return of 9.6% over that period.
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