Blockbuster Jobs Numbers Don’t Scare the Market!
Friday, January 4, 2019 For those of us who may have concluded yesterday’s private-sector payroll report from Automatic Data Processing ADP represented an outlier number at 271K (well above the 180K or so expected), we see an even bigger December jobs number from the non-farm payroll figures this morning from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). A whopping 312K new jobs were reportedly generated in December, way — way! — above the 182K consensus estimate, and more than double the originally reported November headline number of 155K. Not only that, but look beneath the headline and see every other major metric in this BLS report putting up a significant positive surprise, as well: Average Hourly Earnings rose 11 cents per hour, or +0.4% month over month, above the +0.3% expected and the +0.2% originally reported for November; revisions to the past two months — November from 155K to 176K, and October from 237K to 274K — pushing jobs gains to an average of 254K over the past three months; and, importantly, the Labor Force Participation Rate rose to 63.1% from 62.9% last time around. […]