Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Lincoln National Corporation LNC stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Lincoln National has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 10.2, as you can see below:
This level compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE ratio for the S&P 500 comes in at about 21.5. If we focus on the long-term trend of the stock, the current level puts Lincoln National’s current PE among its highs over the past five years. This suggests that the stock is overvalued compared to its own historical levels.
Further, the stock’s PE compares vastly favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 12.9. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Lincoln National has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 10.1 – which is faintly lower than the current level. So it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for Lincoln National stock in the near term too.
PS Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Lincoln National has a P/S ratio of about 1.3. This is lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.4 right now.
LNC is actually in the higher zone of its trading range in the time period per the P/S metric, which suggests that the company’s stock price has already appreciated to some degree, relative to its sales.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Lincoln National currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Lincoln National a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Lincoln National is just 1.2, a level that is slightly lower than the industry average of 1.7. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, LNC is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Lincoln National might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of F and a Momentum score of B. This gives LNC a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of D. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been trending upwards lately. The current year has seen four estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to none lower, while the next year estimate has seen four upward revisions and none downward revision in the same time period.
As a result, the current year consensus estimate has inched up 2.9% in the past two months, while the next year estimate has increased 1.7%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Lincoln National Corporation Price and Consensus
This positive trend signifies bullish analyst sentiment, and its Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) indicates robust fundamentals and expectations of outperformance in the near term.
Bottom Line
Lincoln National is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. With a formidable industry rank (among the Top 21% out of more than 250 industries) and strong Zacks Rank, Lincoln National looks like a strong value contender. In fact, over the past one year, its industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, it might pay for value investors to delve deeper into the company’s prospects, as fundamentals indicate that this stock could be a compelling pick.
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