Technology in 2015: Part 6: The Final Scorecard

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Despite the doom and gloom surrounding weak PC and computing sales overall, technology companies made huge progress this year in their penetration of other markets including artificial intelligence (AI), self driving cars, personal assistants, high-speed Internet and home automation. There were also some breakthroughs in chip-shrinking technologies. And that’s what drove technology stocks higher. Of all the bellwethers, Amazon stock performed the best, followed by Google, Facebook, Microsoft and Apple in that order.

Apple AAPL stock didn’t do as well as in the past, what with shrinking iPad sales and the perennial fear of a slowdown in iPhones, on which it is highly dependent. No matter how well it does in China, Apple investors remain wary of the country’s growth prospects and its possible impact on iPhone sales.

With chances of tax rates escalating in Europe, investors have turned pessimistic about the company’s growth. But that hasn’t stopped Apple from deepening its ties with IBM to take its devices to the enterprise. Nor did it prevent it from announcing Apple Music and Apple Pay, both of which appear to have made a good start.

The company also made a splash in the wearable tech market with Watch, growing quickly into the number two player despite its late entry. Apple has also stepped up its self driving car initiative which it expects will hit the roads by 2019. Asian expansion strategies also continue in full steam.

This has been a huge year for Microsoft MSFT, in which investor perceptions of the company improved dramatically. The no-nonsense attitude of the current CEO in writing down Nokia, developing Surface, pushing strongly into the future with Windows 10 (eventually to be provided as a service), bundling services with Office 365 to take legacy workloads to its cloud and simultaneously increase cloud revenue have all worked in its favor.

Microsoft’s cloud infrastructure business is second only to Amazon’s and that position is likely to hold steady in the foreseeable future. The weakest link seems to be the phone business, but there may be developments next year. Xbox 1 has also lagged PS4 in sales although its decision to allow backward compatibility for many games makes it a rather attractive platform at the moment. Microsoft also made advancements in virtual reality with its HoloLens headgear and partnerships with NASA and Facebook’s Occulus are also encouraging.

The primary reason for the appreciation in Facebook FB stock is its growing ad revenue. And investors have finally come to terms with the fact that teens aren’t running away, or if they use it less in their younger years, they usually come back to it later on. Plus the fact that Facebook is really strongly positioned in several fast-growing markets of Asia, particularly India.

Facebook has a number of initiatives in place (Internet.org, Facebook Lite) for the limited or slow connectivity in these regions and it also has in the works a huge drone to beam Internet connections.The growing engagement on the platform enables it to charge higher rates of advertisers and also enter into strategic relationships with publishers and sellers.

Some notable announcements this year were Instant Articles, Buy Buttons and Storefronts that bring news, advertisers and ecommerce right into the app. It also launched Facebook Messenger and stepped up work in AI. And if all this isn’t enough, the company is getting more active in the development of networking chips that can reduce development cost by open sourcing the technology it develops.

Enthusiasm for Google GOOGL stock picked up right through the year and at first it seems a bit inexplicable given its persistent troubles with the EU, pricing pressures in the core business, Android’s share loss to iOS and competing operating systems cropping up with competitor support. But Google is a pretty consistent performer across the board.

Despite Microsoft’s many efforts to dismantle it in search, it’s Yahoo that is actually headed out. Bing can do some damage given its close integration with Windows 10 and this is an area that bears tracking next year. Google’s Chromebook is edging out rivals in academics and at the enterprise, it now has some snazzy devices of its own.

Google also offers cloud infrastructure services and next year could see it disclosing some numbers. On the entertainment front, Google’s YouTube added a number of music streaming programs including a subscription-based model. It also offers YouTube Gaming for sports enthusiasts. For video, it added to the Chromecast line this year. Google also introduced app indexing, added a Buy button and redid its Play Store to spur its ecommerce efforts this year.

Nest also signed a few important agreements with utility companies to boost its position in home automation. Google’s restructuring itself into Alphabet, the spin-off of its efforts in healthcare and auto, its increased focus on Internet services through Loon and Fiber and home automation through Nest all seem to indicate that the company is on its way to becoming a large scale conglomerate.

Amazon AMZN has been the star performer this year mainly because its AWS revenue, profits and growth rates far exceeded investor expectations. The company barely made profits last year as it spent heavily on building out capacity, but starting this year, AWS is a full-fledged business. That doesn’t of course mean that the traditional business has taken a back seat.

The bulk of the revenue still comes from retail and Amazon is making strides, both consolidating its position in traditional markets and building position in emerging ones like India. The company is also building drones and reportedly buying aircraft with a view to consolidating its logistics operations and taking out inefficiencies. This could be capability it will sell in the future, who knows?

Company

Search

OS

Browser

Devices

Personal Assistant/Voice Control

Comm. Platform

Social Network

ecommerce

Cloud Infrastructure Services

Google

Yes

Android

Chrome

Nexus, Pixel tablet, Chromebook, Chromecast through manufacturing partners

Google Now

Google Messenger

Yes

Yes

Yes

Microsoft

Yes

Windows

Internet Explorer, Edge

Surface, Lumia, Xbox

Cortana

Skype

No

Yes

Yes

Amazon

Yes, limited

No

No

Kindle, Fire

Echo

No

No

Yes

Yes

Apple

Limited, through Siri

iOS

Safari

Mac, iPad, iPhone, Beats, Watch

Siri

No

No

Yes

No

Facebook

Yes, limited

No

No

Rift, through Occulus

No

Facebook Messenger, WhatsApp

Yes

No, beginning through store fronts

No, but created Wedge, FBOSS, other networking

Both Intel INTC and IBM IBM made advancements in chip shrinking technologies utilizing alternative chip architecture and materials. IBM announced that it was developing carbon nanotube technology that would allow the shrinking of chips to 5nm and below. Intel, in combination with Micron developed 3D Xpoint technology, a new architecture for memory chips that don’t offer reliable performance if shrunk below 10nm using traditional methods and materials.

Final Words

It has been a good year for technology companies overall and despite the tooth-and-nail competition that exists between them, they preferred the path of thrift and expediency while focusing on customer experience. Who could want more?

That said, 2016 is a whole new year and no one can tell for sure what the future holds. I can hardly wait.

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