Big Lots’ Q3 Loss in Line with Estimates, Revenues Miss

Zacks

Big Lots Inc. BIG reported mixed financial numbers for the third quarter of fiscal 2015. Although loss per share of 1 cent came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, it was narrower than loss per share of 6 cents reported in the prior-year period. On the other hand, revenue of $1,116.5 million came in below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,120 million but increased 0.8% year over year.

Notably, the company reported mixed financial numbers after reporting better-than-expected quarterly numbers in the previous three quarters. Following the results, the company’s shares declined 6.3% on Friday. Furniture and home categories continued to be strong performers.

Big Lots’ merchandising strategies and effective marketing and inventory management are paying off quite well as evident from its unabated comparable-sales (comps) growth. Comps increased 2.6% in the quarter, representing the seventh straight quarter of comps growth. Comps were within the company’s guidance range of plus 2-3%.

The company’s gross profit was up 2.1% year over year to $440 million, while gross margin came in at 39.4%, up 50 basis points to 38.9%. Gross margin was driven by better cost management and lower fuel prices. Operating loss came in at $2.2 million, in comparison to operating loss of $4.1 million in the prior-year quarter..

Other Financial Details

Big Lots ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $61.5 million, down 1.5% year over year. Inventories were down 2.6% to $1,047.3 million. Total shareholder equity at the end of the quarter was $637.3 million, down 10.7% year over year.

In the quarter under review, the company opened 2 new stores, while 3 outlets were closed. As of Oct 31, 2015, Big Lots’ operated 1,463 stores.

Long-term obligations under the bank credit facility were $334.9 million at the end of the quarter under review, up from $283.4 million in the prior-year quarter.

As of Oct 31, 2015, the company returned $229 million to shareholders under its share repurchase program (thus marking the completion of the share buyback program of $200 million approved in Mar 2015) and quarterly dividend payments ($29 million).

Guidance

Big Lots has upgraded its previously provided earnings guidance for fiscal 2015. Adjusted earnings per share are now projected to be in the band of $2.95 to $3.00, compared with $2.90 to $3.00 expected earlier, based on the inherent strength of its strategic initiatives. This represents growth of 20—22% over $2.46 per share recorded in fiscal 2014. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings for fiscal 2015 is pegged at $2.96 per share.

Comps are expected to increase in the low single-digit range, while total sales are expected to remain unchanged year over year. Also, the company expects cash flow generation of $175 million in fiscal 2015 compared with $254 million in fiscal 2014.

On the other hand, the company reiterated its fourth-quarter guidance. For the fourth quarter, earnings per share from continuing operations are expected to be in the range of $1.95 to $2.00 compared with $1.76 earned in the prior-year quarter. Comps are expected to grow in the band of 1—2%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth quarter is pegged at $1.97 per share.

Zacks Rank

Big Lots currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Some better-ranked stocks in the retail space include Ross Stores Inc. ROST, The Kroger Co. KR and Foot Locker, Inc. FL. All these stocks hold a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

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