GOL Q3 Loss Wider than Expected Despite Revenue Growth

Zacks

GOL Linhas Aereas Inteligentes S.A. (GOL) reported third-quarter 2014 net loss per share of approximately 14 cents, wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 9 cents. The loss, however, compared favorably with the year-ago loss of 31 cents per share.

A decline in domestic supply hurt the quarter’s results. The company reported third-quarter net loss of R$245.1 million (approximately $96 million), higher than the year-ago net loss of R$197 million (approximately $77.1 million).

Revenues

Net revenue increased 10.4% year over year to R$2,461.7 million (approximately $960 million), missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $962 million by a small margin. Increased demand and load factor in addition to the company’s efforts to enhance service for its customers accounted for the year-over-year growth.

Passenger revenues grossed R$2,189.3 million ($856.4 million) while cargo revenues totaled R$272.3 million ($106.5 million).

Operational Statistics

Revenue passenger kilometers (RPK) – implying revenue generated per kilometer per passenger –improved 9.2% year over year to 9,459 million. International RPK spiked 30.3% while domestic RPK rose 6.8%.

Available Seat kilometers (ASK) – that measures an airline's passenger carrying capacity – declined 2% year over year to 12,201 million. ASK in the domestic market reduced 4.2% against 15.5% growth on the international front.

During the reported quarter, the company’s total load factor stood at 77.5%, up 790 basis points (bps) from the year-ago quarter. Domestically, load factor moved up 810 bps while internationally, it rose 830 bps.

Margins

Operating costs and expenses in the quarter increased 5.3% to R$2,309 million (approximately $903.2 million).

Third-quarter 2014 operating income (EBIT) improved to R$152 million (approximately $59.5 million).

Financials

Exiting the third quarter of 2014, GOL had cash and cash equivalents of R$1,942.3 million (approximately $760 million) against R$1,635.7 million (approximately $640 million) at the end of 2013. Long-term debt came in at R$4,840.4 million (approximately $1,893.4 million) in the reported quarter as against R$5,148.6 million (approximately $2,013.9 million) at the end of 2013.

Outlook

For 2014, the company expects a negative 1–3% variation in domestic capacity, while growth in international market is projected at around 8%. GOL expects Brazil’s GDP growth rate to be in the range of 1.5%–2.0% for 2014. The company expects RASK (revenue per available seat kilometer) growth of 10% or above and CASK (cost of available seat kilometer) growth, excluding fuel growth, of around 10% or below. In keeping with these views, GOL expects EBIT margin of 3–6% in 2014.

Zacks Rank

GOL currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Better-ranked stocks in the airline space include Spirit Airlines (SAVE), Southwest Airlines (LUV) and Republic Airways Holdings (RJET). All these stocks sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

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