Is AT&T (T) Poised to Beat on Earnings?

Zacks

AT&T Inc. (T) is slated to report its fourth-quarter 2013 results on Jan 28 after the market closes. In the last quarter, the company delivered a 1.54% earnings surprise. Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Why a Likely Positive Surprise?

Our proven model shows that AT&T is likely to beat earnings because it has the right combination of two key ingredients.

Zacks ESP: Earnings ESP which represents the difference between the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate, stands at +2.00% for AT&T. This is a meaningful and leading indicator of a likely positive earnings surprise.

Zacks Rank: AT&T currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Note that stocks with Zacks Ranks of #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 have a significantly higher chance of beating earnings.

The combination of AT&T’s Zacks Rank #3 and +2.00% ESP makes us confident of an earnings beat this release.

What is Driving the Better-Than-Expected Earnings?

We expect the company to experience strong momentum in both wireline and wireless businesses. Unprecedented demand for smartphones and tablets is fueling wireless business growth. Wireline is also improving with continued growth in its U-verse and strategic services.

Further, AT&T remains a leader in WiFi (wireless broadband) connectivity, which will be accretive to its growth. We also remain encouraged over AT&T‘s proposed acquisition of Leap Wireless, which will boost its prepaid division. However, spectrum crunch and continuous loss of access lines pose major impediments to the company’s growth story.

Other Stocks to Consider

Here are some other companies to consider as our model shows these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter:

Charter Communications Inc. (CHTR) with earnings ESP of +138.10% and Zacks Rank #3.

Frontier Communication Corp. (FTR) with earnings ESP of +16.67% and Zacks Rank #3.

Sprint Corp. (S) with earnings ESP of +6.25% and Zacks Rank #3.

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