Earning Preview: Tiffany & Co. (SIG) (TIF) (ZLC)

Zacks

Tiffany & Company (TIF), a high-end jewelry designer, manufacturer and retailer, is scheduled to report its second-quarter 2011 financial results before the bell on Friday, August 26, 2011. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter is 69 cents a share. For the quarter under review, revenue is $786 million, according to the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

First-Quarter 2011, a Synopsis

Tiffany posted better-than-expected first-quarter 2011 results buoyed by improved demand for luxury items worldwide and consequently raised its full year outlook. The quarterly earnings of 67 cents a share surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 57 cents, and rose substantially from 48 cents earned in the prior-year quarter.

Tiffany, which faces stiff competition from Signet Jewelers Limited (SIG) and Zale Corporation (ZLC), posted net sales of $761 million during the quarter, up 20% from the prior-year quarter, on the heels of a stellar performance in Americas, Asia-Pacific and European regions, healthy same-store sales growth and new collection launches.

Total revenue also handily beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $703 million. Comparable-store sales climbed 19% in the quarter under review. In constant currencies net sales jumped 16% and comps grew 15%.

Guidance

Tiffany raised its fiscal 2011 earnings guidance on the back of stronger-than-expected results. Tiffany now projects earnings in the range of $3.45 to $3.55, up from a range of $3.35 to $3.45 per share, forecasted earlier.

Second-Quarter 2011 Zacks Consensus

The analysts considered by Zacks, expect Tiffany to post second-quarter 2011 earnings of 69 cents a share. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate reflects a growth of 25.5% from the prior-year quarter’s earnings. The current Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter ranges between 64 cents and 77 cents.

Zacks Agreement & Magnitude

Of the 17 analysts following the stock, only 1 has increased the projection and none lowered their estimates, thereby keeping the Zacks Consensus Estimate constant over the last 30 days. In the last 7 days, only one analyst revised the estimate upwards, while none slashed their estimates, thus having no material impact on the Zacks Consensus Estimate.

Positive Earnings Surprise History

With respect to earnings surprises, Tiffany has topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate over the last four quarters in the range of 3.6% to 27.8%. The average remained at 13.2%. This suggests that Tiffany has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate by an average of 13.2% in the trailing four quarters.

Tiffany to Outperform

Tiffany is well positioned to deliver robust sales and earnings growth by leveraging capital investments made in the past several years. The company holds a significant position in the world jewelry market and is poised to benefit from its enhanced geographic reach. With signs of improvement in retail environment, Tiffany plans to accelerate its store expansion program.

Moreover, with a healthy balance sheet, Tiffany remains committed to achieving long-term objectives of at least a 15% return on equity and a 10% return on assets. The company in the wake of better-than-expected first-quarter 2011 results now anticipates a mid-teens percentage rise in total net sales and an increase of 18% to 21% in earnings per share for fiscal 2011.

Currently, we have a long-term Outperform rating on the stock. However, Tiffany holds a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short-term Hold recommendation.

SIGNET GRP PLC (SIG): Free Stock Analysis Report

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