Nicor Beats Ests, Guidance Intact (AGL) (GAS)

Zacks

Gas distributor Nicor Inc. (GAS) reported second quarter 2011 earnings per share of 42 cents, comfortably beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 32 cents. However, on a year-over-year comparison, earnings fell 20.8% from 53 cents per share, bruised by poor performance of the shipping businesses coupled with higher operating expenses.

The company’s total operating revenues were $477.0 million, up 12.1% year over year and 21.7% above our expectation.

Segmental Performance

Gas Distribution: The segment’s operating income for the most recent quarter was $27.9 million compared with $27.4 million in the second quarter of 2010. The improvement reflects effective cost saving initiatives and beneficial weather conditions.

Shipping: Nicor’s Shipping segment registered an operating loss of $0.3 million, as against income of $4.2 million in the year-earlier period. The main reasons for the underperformance were lower operating revenues (primarily due to lesser volume shipped partially offset by higher base rates as well as cost-recovery surcharges for fuel).

Other Energy Ventures: Operating profit came in at $9.4 million, down 17.5% year over year, due to weak contributions from the company’s wholesale natural gas marketing business.

Merger Follow-Up

In mid June, shareholders of Nicor and AGL Resources (AGL), the owner of Atlanta’s natural-gas utility, had approved the proposed merger of the companies.

In December 2010, AGL had announced plans to acquire Nicor for about $3.1 billion in cash, stock and debt. The deal will create a large natural gas-only distribution entity with about 4.5 million customers across seven states, annual revenues of $5.1 billion and an enterprise value of $8.6 billion.

Guidance

Nicor reiterated its 2011 earnings guidance at $2.30 to $2.50 per share, excluding the impacts of the proposed merger with AGL Resources.

Our Recommendation

Nicor operates as one of the biggest gas utilities in the U.S. with a large, stable customer profile and low base rate. The company offers a range of retail energy-related products and services, and has a number of storage projects in the pipeline.

However, the company’s strengths are offset by its investment in higher-risk unregulated operations, ongoing regulatory uncertainties and the challenging economic environment. As such, we see limited upside from the current level and maintain our long-term Neutral recommendation on the stock. Nicor currently retains a Zacks #3 Rank, which translates into a short-term Hold rating.

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