Why Federated National Holding (FNHC) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again – Tale of the Tape

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, FNHC has beaten estimates by at least 70% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, FNHC expected to earn 59 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of $1.01 per share, a beat of 71.2%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 31 cents per share, when it actually saw earnings of 56 cents per share instead, representing a 80.7% positive surprise.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Federated National Holding. In fact, the Earnings ESP for FNHC is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for FNHC, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 1.82%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that FNHC has a great Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. And when you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that FNHC could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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