TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. Announces Third Quarter 2014 Financial & Operational Results; A Series of Strategic Acquisitions; And Increase to 2014 Production Guidance

TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. Announces Third Quarter 2014 Financial & Operational Results; A Series of Strategic Acquisitions; And Increase to 2014 Production Guidance

Canada NewsWire

CALGARY, Nov. 13, 2014 /CNW/ – TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. (“TORC” or the
“Company”) (TSX: TOG) is pleased to announce its financial and
operating results for the three and nine months ended September 30,
2014.
The associated Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) and
unaudited interim financial statements as at and for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2014 can be found at www.sedar.com and www.torcoil.com.

Highlights Three months ended Nine months ended
(in thousands, except per share data) September 30
2014
June 30
2014
September 30
2013
September 30
2014
September 30
2013
Financial
Funds flow from operations, including
transaction related costs (1) $49,005 $50,655 $16,223 $146,867 $48,078
Per share basic $0.52 $0.55 $0.32 $1.59 $1.13
Per share diluted $0.51 $0.53 $0.32 $1.55 $1.11
Funds flow from operations, excluding
transaction related costs (1) $49,029 $50,735 $23,888 $146,971 $55,743
Per share basic $0.52 $0.55 $0.48 $1.59 $1.31
Per share diluted $0.51 $0.53 $0.47 $1.56 $1.28
Net income $15,146 $13,494 $3,287 $36,669 $7,757
Per share basic $0.16 $0.15 $0.06 $0.40 $0.18
Per share diluted $0.16 $0.14 $0.06 $0.39 $0.18
Exploration and development expenditures $49,555 $12,905 $25,851 $100,200 $93,716
Property acquisitions (net of dispositions) $21,540 $70,617 $495,137 $92,130 $494,813
Net debt (2) $213,391 $181,169 $121,486 $213,391 $121,486
Common shares
Shares outstanding, end of period 94,840 93,234 91,069 94,840 91,069
Weighted average shares (basic) 93,397 92,126 50,604 92,388 42,648
Weighted average shares (diluted) 95,794 95,015 51,091 94,485 43,383
Operations
Production
Crude oil (Bbls per day) 9,148 8,851 4,208 8,836 3,485
NGL (Bbls per day) 440 476 257 446 226
Natural gas (Mcf per day) 11,085 10,734 7,449 10,488 6,280
Barrels of oil equivalent (Boepd, 6:1) 11,436 11,116 5,706 11,030 4,758
Average realized price
Crude oil ($ per Bbl) $91.94 $99.66 $99.87 $95.14 $91.53
NGL ($ per Bbl) $49.32 $55.82 $53.42 $56.96 $53.62
Natural gas ($ per Mcf) $4.33 $4.94 $2.61 $4.90 $3.19
Barrels of oil equivalent ($ per Boe, 6:1) $79.64 $86.51 $79.46 $83.18 $73.80
Operating netback per Boe (6:1) ($)
Operating netback (1) $50.15 $54.37 $49.91 $52.62 $46.98
Operating netback (prior to hedging) (1) $50.61 $56.92 $52.21 $54.11 $47.88
Funds flow netback per Boe (6:1) ($)
Including transaction related costs (1) $46.58 $50.08 $30.90 $48.77 $37.01
Excluding transaction related costs (1) $46.60 $50.15 $46.02 $48.81 $42.91
Wells drilled:
Gross 16 4 8 33 21
Net 10.9 2.8 4.1 22.2 13.7
Success (%) 100 100 100 100 100
(1) Management uses these financial measures to analyze operating
performance and leverage. The definitions of these measures are found
in the Company’s Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“the MD&A”) for
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2014. These measures do
not have any standardized meaning prescribed by International Financial
Reporting Standards and therefore may not be comparable with the
calculation of similar measures for other companies.
(2) Net debt is calculated as current assets (excluding financial derivative
assets) less: i) current liabilities (excluding financial derivative
liabilities), ii) bank debt, and iii) non-current deferred lease
incentives.

PRESIDENT’S MESSAGE

The Company’s key achievements in the third quarter of 2014 included the
following:

  • Achieved record quarterly production of 11,436 boepd in the third
    quarter of 2014, up from 11,116 boepd in the second quarter of 2014 and
    5,706 boepd in the third quarter of 2013;

  • Generated cash flow of $49.0 million relative to $50.7 million in the
    second quarter of 2014 and $23.9 million in the third quarter of 2013;

  • Cash flow per share was $0.52 per basic share in the third quarter of
    2014 compared to $0.55 in the second quarter of 2014 and $0.48 per
    share in the third quarter of 2013;

  • Drilled 16 (10.9 net) wells in the third quarter of 2014 with 100%
    success;

  • At quarter end, the Company was drawn $141 million on an available $375
    million
    credit facility, with total net debt of approximately $213
    million
    ;

  • Net debt to annualized third quarter cash flow was 1.1 times;

  • Paid dividends of $0.135 per share to shareholders in the third quarter
    of 2014;

  • Entered into several tuck-in asset acquisitions in TORC’s core Cardium
    and southeast Saskatchewan areas adding high netback production and
    high quality development drilling locations along with additional
    prospective acreage in the emerging Torquay/Three Forks play;

  • Subsequent to quarter end, the Company expanded its available credit
    facility to $425 million from $375 million;

  • Subsequent to quarter end, the Company successfully completed a
    non-brokered private placement of flow-through common shares for gross
    proceeds of $19.7 million;

  • With continued operational outperformance and subsequent tuck‐in
    acquisition activity, the Company is increasing its 2014 average
    production forecast to more than 11,200 boepd (~85% light oil and
    liquids) from the previous 11,050 boepd estimate and 2014 exit
    production forecast to more than 11,900 boepd (~85% light oil and
    liquids) from the previous guidance of 11,400 boepd.

OPERATIONAL UPDATE

With continued success of the 2014 capital program and the Company’s
solid underlying base production profile, TORC achieved record
production of 11,436 boepd in the third quarter.

TORC’s capital program in the third quarter represented the most active
in the Company’s history, with spending of $49.5 million including the
drilling of 16 (10.9 net) wells. Year to date, TORC has successfully
drilled 33 (22.2 net) wells. TORC is well positioned to execute an
active winter drilling program and will continue to focus on capital
efficiencies and optimized drilling and completion techniques in its
core development areas while continuing to expand the Company’s
drilling inventory by strategically delineating the Company’s large
portfolio of light oil prospects.

TORC has entered into a series of strategic acquisitions in its core
areas for an aggregate acquisition price of $65 million. Through five
separate transactions, TORC will add approximately 500 boepd (>85%
light oil and liquids) in both its west central Alberta Cardium and
southeast Saskatchewan core areas. The acquisitions include working
interest top-ups in a number of TORC’s key producing properties as well
as strategic offsetting acreage providing additional high quality
development light oil drilling locations. In addition, the
acquisitions further expand TORC’s footprint in the emerging
Torquay/Three Forks light oil play in southeast Saskatchewan adding 15
net sections of land with Torquay/Three Forks potential. TORC
attributed $15 million of value to this undeveloped land. Two of the
five acquisitions closed in the latter part of the third quarter and
three will close in the fourth quarter.

CARDIUM

TORC plans to drill approximately 15 net wells in the Cardium in 2014.
In the third quarter, TORC drilled 5 (3.6 net) Cardium wells across its
Cardium land base with 100% success. To the end of the third quarter,
TORC had drilled 10.1 net Cardium wells with 100% success. TORC is
actively executing the remaining program for 2014 which will continue
to focus on improving capital efficiencies through cost improvements
and the optimization of completion techniques.

To date in 2014, through both tuck-in transactions as well as through
continued strategic farm in activity, TORC has more than replaced the
15 net wells scheduled to be drilled in 2014. TORC’s current inventory
of undrilled Cardium development locations is approximately 290 net
wells. The 2014 budget of approximately 15 net wells represents
approximately 5% of this high quality development inventory. The size
of this inventory and the continued commitment to growing this
inventory uniquely positions TORC with years of lower risk, high
quality drilling locations to support the long term sustainability of
the business model.

MONARCH

TORC has identified an area in the heart of the Monarch play which is
the focus of the Company’s initial development efforts. TORC’s initial
2014 capital plan included the drilling of three development wells
focused on this initial 20 net section development area. All three
wells have now been drilled and completed with two wells (2.0 net)
recently on production with encouraging results. The third well (1.0
net) is expected to be brought on production before year end. All
three wells were drilled from multi-well pads with resulting all in
costs at or below TORC’s estimated development capital costs of $7
million
per well. TORC expects continued operational efficiencies will
result as development activity accelerates at Monarch.

In the initial 20 net section development area TORC estimates there are
more than 75 net potential development locations. Supported by
continued operational success, TORC will drill an additional well (1.0
net) in the Monarch area in the fourth quarter with the intention of
expanding the initial development area to greater than 20 net
sections. Monarch continues to evolve into a light oil development
area for TORC where, in aggregate, TORC has exposure to approximately
150 net sections of land.

SOUTHEAST SASKATCHEWAN

TORC successfully drilled 9 (5.3 net) southeast Saskatchewan wells in
the third quarter of 2014 including 8 (4.8 net) conventional light oil
wells and 1 (0.5 net) Torquay/Three Forks well.

In 2014, TORC plans to drill approximately 10 net conventional wells in
southeast Saskatchewan. Through tuck-in transactions in 2014 TORC has
more than replaced the wells scheduled to be drilled in 2014. TORC’s
2014 budget represents less than 10% of the Company’s currently
identified conventional development drilling inventory of approximately
150 net locations. These wells are characterized by their lower risk
nature and high rates of return driven by their lower capital costs,
high netbacks and the favorable royalty regime in Saskatchewan.

In the emerging Torquay/Three Forks play, TORC expanded its undeveloped
land position with the strategic acquisition of 15 additional net
prospective sections. TORC is budgeting to drill 3.5 net delineation
wells in this play during 2014 while continuing to monitor industry
activity offsetting TORC’s acreage. It is expected that TORC will
begin to drill development wells along with additional delineation
wells into the Torquay/Three Forks in 2015 as this light oil resource
play evolves into the development phase. Pro forma the strategic
acquisition, TORC holds approximately 85 net sections with
Torquay/Three Forks potential providing significant exposure to this
emerging play.

INCREASED PRODUCTION GUIDANCE

With the continued outperformance of TORC’s core assets and an active
third quarter strategic acquisition program, TORC is increasing its
2014 average production forecast to more than 11,200 boepd (~85% light
oil and liquids) from 11,050 boepd and 2014 exit production to more
than 11,900 boepd (~85% light oil and liquids) from 11,400 boepd while
maintaining TORC’s 2014 capital expenditure program at $135 million.
This upward revision to production guidance represents the fourth
increase to guidance to date in 2014. As the tuck-in acquisition
activity to date has focused on lower decline, high netback assets with
high quality inventory, TORC has been able to maintain a 25% corporate
decline profile despite this increased growth profile while
replenishing its drilling inventory to further strengthen the business
model. TORC anticipates announcing its 2015 capital budget and
production guidance in mid-December.

DIVIDENDS

TORC paid dividends totaling $0.135 per share in the third quarter of
2014. The Board of Directors has confirmed a dividend of $0.045 per
common share to be paid on November 17, 2014 to common shareholders of
record on October 31, 2014.

TORC’s shareholders may receive dividend payments in the form of cash or
may elect to receive dividend payments in the form of common shares
through the Company’s Stock Dividend Plan (“SDP”). Participation in
the SDP is optional. Shareholders, wherever resident, are encouraged
to consult their own tax advisors regarding the tax consequences to
them of receiving cash or stock dividends.

During the first nine months of 2014 TORC paid dividends totaling $37.4
million
, of which $11.4 million was issued under the SDP.

FINANCING

Subsequent to quarter end, the Company successfully completed a
non-brokered private placement of 1.4 million flow-through common
shares for gross proceeds of $19.7 million. The flow-through common
shares were a combination of both Canadian Development Expense and
Canadian Exploration Expense.

The placement of shares closed on October 29, 2014 and has received the
customary regulatory approvals including the approval of the Toronto
Stock Exchange (the “TSX”). Following the closing of the Offering, TORC
has approximately 96.5 million common shares outstanding.

OUTLOOK

TORC has built a sustainable growth platform of light oil focused
assets. The stability of the high quality, low decline, light oil
assets in southeast Saskatchewan, combined with the low risk Cardium
development inventory in central Alberta and exposure to the emerging
light oil resource play at Monarch in southern Alberta and to the
Torquay/Three Forks play in southeast Saskatchewan, positions TORC for
value creation through a disciplined growth strategy and a sustainable
dividend policy.

With a 25% decline profile and based on $40,000 per boepd estimated full
cycle capital efficiency, TORC estimates that its maintenance capital
expenditure requirement to keep production flat at its 2014 exit
guidance rate of 11,900 boepd is approximately $119 million. With an
annual cash dividend of approximately $39 million, TORC requires $158
million
to sustain production and pay its dividend. Based on run rate
production of 11,900 boepd, C$90 Edmonton light oil and C$3.50 AECO
pricing, cash flow is approximately $189 million providing significant
free cash flow for growth. At current Edmonton light oil pricing of
approximately C$85, TORC’s run rate cash flow is approximately $174
million
and thus, the Company is still well positioned with free cash
flow for growth.

Net debt at the end of the third quarter was approximately $213
million
. Pro forma the closing of all announced tuck-in acquisitions
and the closing of the flow-through financing, net debt is estimated to
be approximately $240 million on an upwardly revised bank line of $425
million
, providing significant financial flexibility.

To provide additional certainty around its guidance, TORC has undertaken
an active commodity hedging program to further protect its core capital
spending requirements and dividend policy and currently has an average
of 4,250 boepd hedged for the fourth quarter of 2014 and 2,600 boepd
hedged for 2015. A complete list of the Company’s hedges can be found
in the updated corporate presentation located at www.torcoil.com.

The quality of TORC’s underlying high netback production base, high
quality drilling inventory, financial flexibility, hedge portfolio,
strategic relationship with CPP Investment Board and management and
board experience differentiates TORC in periods of volatile market
conditions and positions the Company to take advantage of opportunities
that arise in these environments to continue to build the business on a
cost effective basis.

TORC has the following key operational and financial attributes:

High Netback Production 2014E Avg: greater than 11,200 boepd (~85% light oil & NGLs)
2014E Exit: greater than 11,900 boepd (~85% light oil & NGLs)
Reserves (1) Greater than 53 mmboe (81% light oil & NGLs) Total Proved plus Probable
Southeast Saskatchewan Light Oil
Development Inventory
~150 net undrilled locations (<10% to be drilled in 2014)
Cardium Light Oil Development Inventory ~290 net undrilled locations (~5% to be drilled in 2014)
Emerging Light Oil Resource Exposure Greater than 150 net sections at Monarch
~ 85 net sections of Torquay/Three Forks exposure
Sustainability Assumptions Corporate decline ~25%
Light Oil Full Cycle Capital Efficiency ~$40,000/boepd (IP 365)
$45 per boe cash netback (C$90 Edm light)
Run Rate Cash Flow (2) ~$189 million (C$90 Edm), ~$174 million (Current Commodities)
2014 Maintenance Capex
Percent of Cash Flow Required to
Maintain Production
Free Cash Flow for Growth
$119 million

63% (C$90 Edm), 68% (Current Commodities)
~$31 million (C$90 Edm), ~$16 million (Current Commodities)

Annual Dividend (paid monthly) $0.54 per share
$52 million
$39 million (net of CPPIB share dividend participation)
Targeted Organic Growth 5-7%
Targeted All-in-Payout Ratio Less than 100%
Net Debt & Bank Line Estimated net debt of ~$240 million (pro forma subsequent events)
Bank line of $425 million
Debt/Cash Flow (run rate) < 1.3x
Shares Outstanding 96.5 million (basic)
Tax Pools Greater than $1 billion

Notes:
(1) Company gross reserves being pro forma TORC’s working interest share
before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty
interests of pro forma TORC. Based on the independent reserve report,
effective as of December 31, 2013, prepared by Sproule Associates
Limited, and TORC internal evaluations of the subsequent acquisitions,
prepared by a qualified reserves evaluator in accordance with NI 51-
101 and the COGE Handbook.

(2) Based on $3.50 AECO.

TORC Oil & Gas Ltd. is a Calgary based company active in the
acquisition, exploration, development and production of crude oil and
natural gas in Western Canada.


Note regarding forward looking statements:
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively “forward-looking
information”) within the meaning of applicable securities laws relating
to the Company’s plans and other aspects of TORC’s 2014 capital budget,
strategic objectives, anticipated future operations, dividend
increases, financial, operating and production results, operational
initiatives and the expected results, including expected 2014 average
production, exit production, cash flow, netbacks, decline rates, net
debt to cash flow, capital expenditure program, commodity pricing,
dividends, targeted growth, tax pools and drilling and development
plans and the timing thereof. In addition, and without limiting the
generality of the foregoing, this press release contains
forward-looking information regarding: the Company’s objectives; the
focus and allocation of TORC’s 2014 capital budget; management’s view
of the characteristics and quality of TORC’s assets, including the high
quality, low-risk, light oil, high netback, development nature of
TORC’s properties, the magnitude of opportunities available to the
Company on its assets, the production profile and decline rates on the
Company’s assets, the Company’s exposure to large scale resource plays,
the repeatability of operations and the drilling inventory available to
the Company; production, growth, debt, dividend and payout ratio
guidance for 2014; anticipated maintenance capital expenditures and
growth capital expenditures in 2014; targeted growth rates; and other
matters ancillary or incidental to the foregoing.

Forward-looking information typically uses words such as “anticipate”,
“believe”, “project”, “target”, “guidance”, “expect”, “goal”, “plan”,
“intend” or similar words suggesting future outcomes, statements that
actions, events or conditions “may”, “would”, “could” or “will” be
taken or occur in the future. The forward-looking information is based
on certain key expectations and assumptions made by TORC’s management,
including expectations and assumptions concerning prevailing commodity
prices, exchange rates, interest rates, applicable royalty rates and
tax laws; capital efficiencies; decline rates; future production rates
and estimates of operating costs; performance of existing and future
wells; reserve and resource volumes; anticipated timing and results of
capital expenditures; the success obtained in drilling new wells; the
sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in carrying out planned
activities; the timing, location and extent of future drilling
operations; the state of the economy and the exploration and production
business; results of operations; performance; business prospects and
opportunities; the availability and cost of financing, labour and
services; the impact of increasing competition; ability to market oil
and natural gas successfully and TORC’s ability to access capital.

Statements relating to “reserves” are also deemed to be forward looking
statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on certain
estimates and assumptions, that the reserves described exist in the
quantities predicted or estimated and that the reserves can be
profitably produced in the future.

Although the Company believes that the expectations and assumptions on
which such forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue
reliance should not be placed on the forward-looking information
because TORC can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct.
Since forward-looking information addresses future events and
conditions, by its very nature they involve inherent risks and
uncertainties. The Company’s actual results, performance or achievement
could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the
forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be given
that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking information
will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that
the Company will derive there from. Management has included the above
summary of assumptions and risks related to forward-looking information
provided in this press release in order to provide securityholders with
a more complete perspective on TORC’s future operations and such
information may not be appropriate for other purposes.


Dividends
The payment and the amount of dividends declared in any month will be
subject to the discretion of the board of directors and will depend on
the board of director’s assessment of TORC’s outlook for growth,
capital expenditure requirements, funds from operations, potential
acquisition opportunities, debt position and other conditions that the
board of directors may consider relevant at such future time. The
amount of future cash dividends, if any, may also vary depending on a
variety of factors, including fluctuations in commodity prices and
differentials, production levels, capital expenditure requirements,
debt service requirements, operating costs, royalty burdens and foreign
exchange rates.

Non-GAAP Measures

This document contains the term “cash flow” and “netbacks”, which do not
have a standardized meaning prescribed by Canadian generally accepted
accounting principles (“GAAP”) and therefore may not be comparable with
the calculation of similar measures by other companies. TORC uses cash
flow and netbacks to analyze financial and operating performance. TORC
feels these benchmarks are key measures of profitability and overall
sustainability for TORC. Both of these terms are commonly used in the
oil and gas industry. Cash flow and operating netbacks are not intended
to represent operating profits nor should they be viewed as an
alternative to cash flow provided by operating activities, net earnings
or other measures of financial performance calculated in accordance
with GAAP. Cash flows are calculated as cash flows from operating
activities less changes in non-cash working capital. Netbacks are
determined by deducting royalties, production expenses and
transportation and selling expenses from oil and gas revenue. TORC
calculates cash flow per share using the same method and shares
outstanding that are used in the determination of earnings per share.

Information Regarding Disclosure on Oil and Gas Reserves and Operational
Information:

Our oil and gas reserves statement for the year ended December 31, 2013,
which includes complete disclosure of our oil and gas reserves and
other oil and gas information in accordance with NI 51-101, is
contained within our Annual Information Form which is available on our
SEDAR profile by at www.sedar.com. The recovery and reserve estimates contained herein are estimates only
and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be
recovered. In relation to the disclosure of estimates for individual
properties, such estimates may not reflect the same confidence level as
estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to
the effects of aggregation. The Company’s belief that it will establish
additional reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped
reserves into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is
based on certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as
discussed above under the heading “Note regarding forward looking
statements”.

Meaning of Boe and Boepd

The term “BOE” or barrels of oil equivalent may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation. A BOE conversion ratio of six
thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (6
Mcf: 1 bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method
primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value
equivalency at the wellhead. Additionally, given that the value ratio
based on the current price of crude oil, as compared to natural gas, is
significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1; utilizing a
conversion ratio of 6:1 may be misleading as an indication of value.

SOURCE TORC Oil & Gas Ltd.

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